Inflation pressures moderated in February, and January job openings exceeded expectations. However, a closer examination of the data uncovers important insights.

After nearly two months of falling bond yields (and mortgage rates), trends reversed course this week, despite solid progress getting CPI lower and a BLS jobs report that was weak beneath the surface. The Fed is expected to keep rates steady next week.

The MBS Highway National Housing Index rose four points in March 2025, led by a seven-point improvement in buyer activity. Price direction, however, was flat overall, with month-over-month declines seen in several regions.

The GDPNow estimate for first quarter economic growth has undergone a significant revision, dropping from +3.9% on February 3 to -2.8% on March 3, with a minor recovery to -2.4% by March 6.

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